Hassett, chapter 1: Probability is a tool for risk management.

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1.1 Who uses probability?

1.2 An example from insurance

It's a premium calculation, followed by caveats.

1.3 Probability and statistics

1.4 Some history

Cardano, 1500s; Pascal-Fermat correspondence, 1654. Compare Newton and Leibniz inventing calculus in 1660s. Many modern distributions developed in twentieth century.

Actuarial life contingencies published 1771, but modern stochastic models introduced in 1970s.

A young branch of mathematics.

1.5 Computing technology